DEL (German hockey league) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Kolner — Nurnberg Ice Tigers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Kolner 52%, Nurnberg Ice Tigers 48% including overtime.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.9.
Facts
- League table: Kolner — No. 6, 25 pts; Nurnberg Ice Tigers — No. 3, 28 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Kolner 5 wins, Nurnberg Ice Tigers 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kolner — Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 3.0–2.9 | |
| Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Nurnberg Ice Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kolner
- Kolner goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11Iserlohn Roosters3:2 SO
- 30.10away · Krefeld Pinguine4:0
- 27.10Adler Mannheim5:6 OT
- 23.10away · Straubing Tigers5:3
- 20.10Schwenninger2:3 OT
- 01.11away · Munchen1:2
- 30.10Grizzly Wolfsburg8:1
- 25.10away · Iserlohn Roosters4:2
- 23.10Krefeld Pinguine7:2
- 18.10Munchen6:2
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Kolner — Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:2
- 25.01.2026Kolner — Nurnberg Ice Tigers5:2
- 06.01.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Kolner2:4
- 05.12.2025Kolner — Nurnberg Ice Tigers7:4
- 21.09.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Kolner2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Adler Mannheim | 15 | 8 | +15 | 30 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 15 | 9 | +22 | 28 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Munchen | 14 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Straubing Tigers | 14 | 8 | +11 | 26 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Kolner | 15 | 6 | +4 | 25 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | ERC Ingolstadt | 15 | 5 | -8 | 20 |
DEL on the same day
- Augsburger PantherKrefeld Pinguinepreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Eisbaren BerlinFrankfurt Lowenpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.1
- ERC IngolstadtBremerhavenpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Straubing TigersAdler Mannheimpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →