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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Henderson Silver Knights — San Diego Gulls

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Model prediction for 8 November

Henderson Silver Knights41%
Draw in regulation22%
San Diego Gulls37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Close to a coin flip: Henderson Silver Knights 52%, San Diego Gulls 48% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Henderson Silver Knights — No. 10, 12 pts; San Diego Gulls — No. 17, 12 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Henderson Silver Knights 3 wins, San Diego Gulls 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Henderson Silver Knights — San Diego Gulls2.8–2.6
Henderson Silver Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Henderson Silver Knights
  • Henderson Silver Knights goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Henderson Silver Knights

  • 01.11away · San Diego Gulls3:2 OT
  • 31.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds1:5
  • 29.10Ontario Reign4:1
  • 25.10Tucson Roadrunners1:4
  • 24.10Tucson Roadrunners2:1 OT

San Diego Gulls

  • 02.11Colorado Eagles3:2 SO
  • 01.11Henderson Silver Knights2:3 OT
  • 25.10San Jose Barracuda4:1
  • 22.10Coachella Valley Firebirds2:3
  • 18.10away · Tucson Roadrunners3:2 OT

Head to head

  • 01.11.2026San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights2:3 OT
  • 11.10.2026San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights2:0
  • 05.02.2026San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights7:4
  • 17.12.2025Henderson Silver Knights — San Diego Gulls1:0
  • 14.12.2025San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights1:2 SO

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
9Colorado Eagles1162332–27+514.636
10Henderson Silver Knights1060425–23+212.600
11Cleveland Monsters1060435–36-112.600
16Syracuse Crunch1051431–31011.550
17San Diego Gulls1152430–29+112.545
18Calgary Wranglers1260638–36+212.500

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →