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KHL · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Khabarovsk — Barys Astana

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Model prediction for 8 November

Khabarovsk38%
Draw in regulation23%
Barys Astana40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Close to a coin flip: Khabarovsk 48%, Barys Astana 52% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Khabarovsk — No. 11, 23 pts; Barys Astana — No. 9, 25 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Khabarovsk 4 wins, Barys Astana 1.
  • Days of rest before the match: Khabarovsk 7, Barys Astana 9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Khabarovsk — Barys Astana2.3–2.4
Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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Form

Khabarovsk

  • 01.11away · Vladivostok5:2
  • 30.10away · Bars Kazan1:3
  • 28.10away · Dynamo Moscow1:2
  • 25.10Vladivostok3:0
  • 19.10Barys Astana5:2

Barys Astana

  • 30.10away · Shanghai4:2
  • 28.10away · Dinamo Minsk1:0
  • 26.10away · Yekaterinburg1:4
  • 21.10away · Vladivostok4:5 OT
  • 19.10away · Khabarovsk2:5

Head to head

  • 19.10.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana5:2
  • 12.09.2026Barys Astana — Khabarovsk1:3
  • 10.03.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana0:3
  • 02.02.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana4:2
  • 31.01.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana2:1 SO

Full record: 48 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceCherepovets23122951–53-226
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBarys Astana21121871–57+1425
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceBars Kazan231121051–53-224
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk21111942–35+723
12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceVladivostok22103956–60-423

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →