Khabarovsk — Barys Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Khabarovsk 48%, Barys Astana 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Khabarovsk — No. 11, 23 pts; Barys Astana — No. 9, 25 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Khabarovsk 4 wins, Barys Astana 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Khabarovsk 7, Barys Astana 9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Khabarovsk — Barys Astana | 2.3–2.4 | |
| Khabarovsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Khabarovsk
- Khabarovsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 01.11away · Vladivostok5:2
- 30.10away · Bars Kazan1:3
- 28.10away · Dynamo Moscow1:2
- 25.10Vladivostok3:0
- 19.10Barys Astana5:2
- 30.10away · Shanghai4:2
- 28.10away · Dinamo Minsk1:0
- 26.10away · Yekaterinburg1:4
- 21.10away · Vladivostok4:5 OT
- 19.10away · Khabarovsk2:5
Head to head
- 19.10.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana5:2
- 12.09.2026Barys Astana — Khabarovsk1:3
- 10.03.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana0:3
- 02.02.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana4:2
- 31.01.2026Khabarovsk — Barys Astana2:1 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 23 | 12 | -2 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 21 | 12 | +14 | 25 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 23 | 11 | -2 | 24 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 22 | 10 | -4 | 23 |
KHL on the same day
- 39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- 31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →