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KHL · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Sochi — Dinamo Minsk

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Model prediction for 8 November

Sochi24%
Draw in regulation20%
Dinamo Minsk56%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Dinamo Minsk are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Sochi — No. 21, 14 pts; Dinamo Minsk — No. 16, 22 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sochi 1 win, Dinamo Minsk 4.
  • Days of rest before the match: Sochi 5, Dinamo Minsk 7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sochi — Dinamo Minsk2.0–3.0
Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

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Form

Sochi

  • 03.11Niznekamsk1:2
  • 01.11Avangard Omsk2:1 OT
  • 29.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:6
  • 27.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
  • 25.10away · Lada4:3

Dinamo Minsk

  • 01.11Dynamo Moscow0:4
  • 30.10Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2
  • 28.10Barys Astana0:1
  • 24.10away · Nizhny Novgorod2:1 OT
  • 22.10away · Sochi2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 22.10.2026Sochi — Dinamo Minsk3:2 OT
  • 27.02.2026Sochi — Dinamo Minsk2:3
  • 25.02.2026Sochi — Dinamo Minsk2:7
  • 10.11.2025Dinamo Minsk — Sochi5:2
  • 28.10.2025Dinamo Minsk — Sochi8:2

Full record: 39 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceAvangard Omsk20102840–47-722
16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk2286851–66-1522
17SKA St. Petersburg211011062–65-321
20Novosibirsk23831251–68-1719
21Sochi22701538–75-3714
22Lada22451334–72-3813

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →