Sochi — Dinamo Minsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Dinamo Minsk are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- Dinamo Minsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Sochi — No. 21, 14 pts; Dinamo Minsk — No. 16, 22 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Sochi 1 win, Dinamo Minsk 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Sochi 5, Dinamo Minsk 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sochi — Dinamo Minsk | 2.0–3.0 | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sochi
- Sochi goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 03.11Niznekamsk1:2
- 01.11Avangard Omsk2:1 OT
- 29.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:6
- 27.10away · Salavat Ufa2:1
- 25.10away · Lada4:3
- 01.11Dynamo Moscow0:4
- 30.10Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2
- 28.10Barys Astana0:1
- 24.10away · Nizhny Novgorod2:1 OT
- 22.10away · Sochi2:3 OT
Head to head
- 22.10.2026Sochi — Dinamo Minsk3:2 OT
- 27.02.2026Sochi — Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 25.02.2026Sochi — Dinamo Minsk2:7
- 10.11.2025Dinamo Minsk — Sochi5:2
- 28.10.2025Dinamo Minsk — Sochi8:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Avangard Omsk | 20 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 8 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | SKA St. Petersburg | 21 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 20 | Novosibirsk | 23 | 8 | -17 | 19 |
| 21 | Sochi | 22 | 7 | -37 | 14 |
| 22 | Lada | 22 | 4 | -38 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.7
- 39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →