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KHL · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Tractor Chelyabinsk — Yekaterinburg

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Model prediction for 8 November

Tractor Chelyabinsk43%
Draw in regulation23%
Yekaterinburg35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Tractor Chelyabinsk are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 19, 21 pts; Yekaterinburg — No. 14, 22 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Tractor Chelyabinsk 2 wins, Yekaterinburg 3.
  • Days of rest before the match: Tractor Chelyabinsk 4, Yekaterinburg 8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tractor Chelyabinsk — Yekaterinburg2.5–2.2
Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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Form

Tractor Chelyabinsk

  • 04.11Barys Astana2:1
  • 01.11CSKA Moscow2:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:3
  • 28.10away · CSKA Moscow1:5
  • 26.10Novosibirsk2:1

Yekaterinburg

  • 31.10Magnitogorsk3:4
  • 29.10Nizhny Novgorod3:2 SO
  • 26.10Barys Astana4:1
  • 23.10CSKA Moscow5:1
  • 20.10away · SKA St. Petersburg3:1

Head to head

  • 07.09.2026Yekaterinburg — Tractor Chelyabinsk3:4 OT
  • 14.01.2026Yekaterinburg — Tractor Chelyabinsk4:1
  • 06.01.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Yekaterinburg3:1
  • 16.11.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Yekaterinburg1:5
  • 28.10.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Yekaterinburg1:2 SO

Full record: 61 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDynamo Moscow24951050–62-1223
14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceYekaterinburg21102957–53+422
15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceAvangard Omsk20102840–47-722
18Salavat Ufa221011161–67-621
19Tractor Chelyabinsk22931045–54-921
20Novosibirsk24931254–69-1521

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →