Niznekamsk — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Niznekamsk — No. 6, 29 pts; Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — No. 3, 30 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Niznekamsk 4 wins, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Niznekamsk — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 2.0–2.5 | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Niznekamsk
- Niznekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 03.11away · Sochi2:1
- 01.11away · Novosibirsk3:1
- 29.10Vladivostok3:4
- 27.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Avangard Omsk3:2
- 02.11Lada0:1
- 29.10Sochi6:2
- 25.10Cherepovets1:0
- 23.10Dynamo Moscow2:1 OT
- 20.10Niznekamsk0:1
Head to head
- 20.10.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Niznekamsk0:1
- 17.02.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Niznekamsk1:0
- 14.09.2025Niznekamsk — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl5:4 OT
- 14.03.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Niznekamsk1:2 SO
- 14.09.2024Niznekamsk — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 17 | +31 | 34 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 21 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 21 | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 13 | +15 | 29 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 23 | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | +17 | 28 |
KHL on the same day
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.7
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- 31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →