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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Liberec — Mlada Boleslav

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Model prediction for 22 November

Liberec56%
Draw in regulation21%
Mlada Boleslav23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Liberec are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.

Why

  • Liberec are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Liberec — No. 8, 24 pts; Mlada Boleslav — No. 12, 17 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Liberec 3 wins, Mlada Boleslav 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Liberec — Mlada Boleslav2.9–1.9
Liberec to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)40%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)60%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Liberec
  • Liberec goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Liberec

  • 01.11Mountfield HK4:3 OT
  • 30.10away · Kladno2:4
  • 25.10Plzen2:0
  • 23.10Sparta Prague3:1
  • 20.10away · Vitkovice2:3 SO

Mlada Boleslav

  • 01.11away · Pardubice0:4
  • 30.10Sparta Prague1:4
  • 27.10away · Karlovy Vary2:1
  • 25.10Ceske Budejovice3:2 SO
  • 22.10away · Olomouc2:4

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Mlada Boleslav — Liberec3:5
  • 27.02.2026Mlada Boleslav — Liberec4:5 OT
  • 30.12.2025Liberec — Mlada Boleslav2:1 SO
  • 16.11.2025Mlada Boleslav — Liberec2:0
  • 30.09.2025Liberec — Mlada Boleslav0:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov17611936–45-921
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217
13Vitkovice16412938–52-1416

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • KladnoLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • PlzenKarlovy Varypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • Kometa BrnoCeske Budejovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • VitkoviceMountfield HKpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
  • PardubiceSparta Praguepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →