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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Pardubice — Sparta Prague

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Model prediction for 22 November

Pardubice47%
Draw in regulation22%
Sparta Prague31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pardubice are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Pardubice — No. 2, 36 pts; Sparta Prague — No. 6, 25 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Pardubice 3 wins, Sparta Prague 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pardubice — Sparta Prague2.7–2.3
Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Pardubice
  • Pardubice goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Pardubice

  • 01.11Mlada Boleslav4:0
  • 30.10away · Karlovy Vary4:2
  • 27.10Litvinov2:3
  • 25.10away · Mountfield HK0:2
  • 23.10away · Kladno3:4 OT

Sparta Prague

  • 01.11Litvinov3:0
  • 30.10away · Mlada Boleslav4:1
  • 27.10away · Kladno1:5
  • 24.10Olomouc2:1 OT
  • 23.10away · Liberec1:3

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Pardubice — Sparta Prague6:4
  • 15.04.2026Pardubice — Sparta Prague1:0
  • 13.04.2026Sparta Prague — Pardubice3:2
  • 11.04.2026Pardubice — Sparta Prague4:3 OT
  • 08.04.2026Sparta Prague — Pardubice4:2

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsTrinec171311267–39+2842
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice171111464–43+2136
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKladno17733453–49+430
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice17802745–47-226
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague17712745–40+525
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • KladnoLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • LiberecMlada Boleslavpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • PlzenKarlovy Varypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • Kometa BrnoCeske Budejovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • VitkoviceMountfield HKpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →