Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Plzen — Karlovy Vary
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Plzen are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 26%.
Why
- Plzen are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Plzen — No. 7, 25 pts; Karlovy Vary — No. 4, 28 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Plzen: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Plzen 3 wins, Karlovy Vary 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Plzen — Karlovy Vary | 2.2–1.9 | |
| Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Karlovy Vary to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 26% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 74% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Plzen
- Plzen goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Ceske Budejovice3:2
- 30.10Pardubice2:4
- 27.10Mlada Boleslav1:2
- 25.10away · Trinec1:2
- 23.10away · Mountfield HK4:3 OT
Head to head
- 04.10.2026Karlovy Vary — Plzen4:1
- 25.02.2026Plzen — Karlovy Vary2:0
- 28.12.2025Karlovy Vary — Plzen1:2
- 14.11.2025Karlovy Vary — Plzen4:2
- 28.09.2025Plzen — Karlovy Vary3:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Kladno | 17 | 7 | +4 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 17 | 8 | +8 | 28 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ceske Budejovice | 17 | 8 | -2 | 26 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 17 | 7 | +5 | 25 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Plzen | 17 | 4 | +2 | 25 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 16 | 6 | +1 | 24 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- KladnoLitvinovpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
- LiberecMlada Boleslavpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Kometa BrnoCeske Budejovicepreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
- VitkoviceMountfield HKpreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
- PardubiceSparta Praguepreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →