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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Vitkovice — Mountfield HK

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Model prediction for 22 November

Vitkovice33%
Draw in regulation22%
Mountfield HK45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Mountfield HK are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • Mountfield HK are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Vitkovice — No. 13, 16 pts; Mountfield HK — No. 9, 24 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Vitkovice 0 wins, Mountfield HK 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vitkovice — Mountfield HK2.3–2.6
Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Mountfield HK to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vitkovice
  • Vitkovice goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Vitkovice

  • 01.11Trinec1:3
  • 30.10away · Litvinov3:2
  • 25.10away · Kladno1:2
  • 23.10Kometa Brno3:2
  • 20.10Liberec3:2 SO

Mountfield HK

  • 01.11away · Liberec3:4 OT
  • 27.10away · Ceske Budejovice0:3
  • 25.10Pardubice2:0
  • 23.10Karlovy Vary3:4 OT
  • 18.10away · Mlada Boleslav3:4

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Mountfield HK — Vitkovice3:2 OT
  • 25.02.2026Mountfield HK — Vitkovice4:0
  • 28.12.2025Vitkovice — Mountfield HK3:5
  • 14.11.2025Mountfield HK — Vitkovice3:0
  • 28.09.2025Vitkovice — Mountfield HK0:4

Full record: 16 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav174211035–57-2217
13Vitkovice16412938–52-1416
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc173121132–55-2313

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • KladnoLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • LiberecMlada Boleslavpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • PlzenKarlovy Varypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • Kometa BrnoCeske Budejovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • PardubiceSparta Praguepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →