NHL · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)
Montreal Canadiens — Minnesota Wild
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Minnesota Wild are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Montreal Canadiens — No. 6, 21 pts; Minnesota Wild — No. 3, 25 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Montreal Canadiens 1 win, Minnesota Wild 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens — Minnesota Wild | 2.6–2.8 | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Montreal Canadiens
- Montreal Canadiens goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.11Winnipeg Jets4:5 OT
- 01.11Pittsburgh Penguins5:4
- 30.10away · Dallas Stars5:2
- 28.10away · St. Louis Blues2:0
- 26.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:1
- 04.11away · Philadelphia Flyers4:2
- 01.11away · Washington Capitals5:1
- 30.10New York Islanders3:4 OT
- 28.10away · Utah Mammoth3:1
- 26.10away · Vancouver Canucks4:2
Head to head
- 03.02.2026Minnesota Wild — Montreal Canadiens4:3 OT
- 21.01.2026Montreal Canadiens — Minnesota Wild4:3
- 31.01.2025Montreal Canadiens — Minnesota Wild0:4
- 15.11.2024Minnesota Wild — Montreal Canadiens3:0
- 22.12.2023Minnesota Wild — Montreal Canadiens4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 16 | 11 | +19 | 25 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 17 | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 16 | 11 | +20 | 23 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 17 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Montreal Canadiens | 15 | 9 | +5 | 21 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New Jersey Devils | 15 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
NHL on the same day
- Ottawa SenatorsWashington Capitalspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Toronto Maple LeafsColorado Avalanchepreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.4
- Winnipeg JetsNew Jersey Devilspreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- Columbus Blue JacketsFlorida Pantherspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- St. Louis BluesDetroit Red Wingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Los Angeles KingsNashville Predatorspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →