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NHL · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

St. Louis Blues — Detroit Red Wings

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Model prediction for 11 November

St. Louis Blues40%
Draw in regulation24%
Detroit Red Wings36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: St. Louis Blues 52%, Detroit Red Wings 48% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: St. Louis Blues — No. 22, 15 pts; Detroit Red Wings — No. 17, 17 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: St. Louis Blues 3 wins, Detroit Red Wings 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: St. Louis Blues — Detroit Red Wings2.7–2.6
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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Form

St. Louis Blues

  • 04.11away · New York Rangers1:3
  • 31.10away · Detroit Red Wings5:4
  • 30.10Boston Bruins4:1
  • 28.10Montreal Canadiens0:2
  • 25.10Carolina Hurricanes0:4

Detroit Red Wings

  • 04.11away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:4
  • 03.11away · Florida Panthers5:3
  • 31.10St. Louis Blues4:5
  • 30.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
  • 27.10away · Edmonton Oilers4:3 SO

Head to head

  • 31.10.2026Detroit Red Wings — St. Louis Blues4:5
  • 29.10.2025St. Louis Blues — Detroit Red Wings2:5
  • 26.10.2025Detroit Red Wings — St. Louis Blues6:4
  • 02.04.2025St. Louis Blues — Detroit Red Wings2:1 OT
  • 24.12.2024Detroit Red Wings — St. Louis Blues0:4

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
16, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken1481552–52017
17Detroit Red Wings1673648–50-217
18, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceNashville Predators1565446–48-217
21New York Islanders1472540–39+116
22St. Louis Blues1571745–45015
23Anaheim Ducks1571754–57-315

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →