AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Providence Bruins — Milwaukee Admirals
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Providence Bruins are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Providence Bruins — No. 23, 10 pts; Milwaukee Admirals — No. 6, 14 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Providence Bruins: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Providence Bruins — Milwaukee Admirals | 2.9–2.3 | |
| Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Milwaukee Admirals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Providence Bruins
- Providence Bruins goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.11away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms8:0
- 31.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds7:6 OT
- 25.10Utica Comets5:2
- 24.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
- 18.10away · Hershey Bears6:1
- 31.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:1
- 31.10away · Cleveland Monsters2:5
- 29.10Manitoba Moose3:0
- 25.10Chicago Wolves2:1 SO
- 25.10away · Chicago Wolves2:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tucson Roadrunners | 11 | 7 | +12 | 16 | .727 |
| 6 | Milwaukee Admirals | 10 | 7 | +6 | 14 | .700 |
| 7 | Manitoba Moose | 12 | 8 | +15 | 16 | .667 |
| 22 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 11 | 4 | -6 | 11 | .500 |
| 23 | Providence Bruins | 11 | 5 | +8 | 10 | .455 |
| 24 | Ontario Reign | 11 | 5 | -9 | 10 | .455 |
AHL on the same day
- Hartford Wolf PackMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonRochester Americanspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Cleveland MonstersUtica Cometspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Syracuse CrunchBelleville Senatorspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsHershey Bearspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.6
- Providence BruinsCharlotte Checkerspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- Abbotsford CanucksTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Texas StarsSan Jose Barracudapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →