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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

San Diego Gulls — Iowa Wild

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Model prediction for 22 November

San Diego Gulls47%
Draw in regulation22%
Iowa Wild32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Diego Gulls are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • San Diego Gulls are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: San Diego Gulls — No. 17, 12 pts; Iowa Wild — No. 30, 9 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Iowa Wild: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Diego Gulls 2 wins, Iowa Wild 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Diego Gulls — Iowa Wild2.8–2.4
San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Iowa Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap San Diego Gulls
  • San Diego Gulls goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

San Diego Gulls

  • 02.11Colorado Eagles3:2 SO
  • 01.11Henderson Silver Knights2:3 OT
  • 25.10San Jose Barracuda4:1
  • 22.10Coachella Valley Firebirds2:3
  • 18.10away · Tucson Roadrunners3:2 OT

Iowa Wild

  • 02.11Charlotte Checkers4:5 OT
  • 31.10Charlotte Checkers3:6
  • 25.10Manitoba Moose0:2
  • 24.10Manitoba Moose3:4
  • 22.10Milwaukee Admirals2:3

Head to head

  • 06.04.2025Iowa Wild — San Diego Gulls5:1
  • 05.04.2025Iowa Wild — San Diego Gulls4:2
  • 16.01.2025San Diego Gulls — Iowa Wild5:7
  • 09.01.2025San Diego Gulls — Iowa Wild5:1
  • 28.01.2024Iowa Wild — San Diego Gulls4:7

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
16Syracuse Crunch1051431–31011.550
17San Diego Gulls1152430–29+112.545
18Calgary Wranglers1260638–36+212.500
29Bakersfield Condors931523–28-57.389
30Iowa Wild1233629–37-89.375
31Hamilton Hammers1232730–48-188.333

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →