San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
San Jose Barracuda are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.2 and 3.0.
Facts
- League table: San Jose Barracuda — No. 28, 8 pts; Bakersfield Condors — No. 29, 7 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: San Jose Barracuda 4 wins, Bakersfield Condors 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors | 3.2–3.0 | |
| San Jose Barracuda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Bakersfield Condors to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 63% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 37% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Jose Barracuda
- San Jose Barracuda goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 02.11Bakersfield Condors3:2 OT
- 29.10Abbotsford Canucks2:5
- 25.10away · San Diego Gulls1:4
- 24.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds5:2
- 17.10Calgary Wranglers5:4
- 02.11away · San Jose Barracuda2:3 OT
- 31.10Abbotsford Canucks1:5
- 25.10away · Colorado Eagles4:1
- 24.10away · Colorado Eagles1:4
- 18.10Calgary Wranglers3:4
Head to head
- 02.11.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors3:2 OT
- 19.04.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors4:3 OT
- 18.04.2026Bakersfield Condors — San Jose Barracuda5:2
- 25.01.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors5:3
- 11.01.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockford IceHogs | 10 | 4 | -8 | 8 | .400 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 10 | 4 | -12 | 8 | .400 |
| 29 | Bakersfield Condors | 9 | 3 | -5 | 7 | .389 |
| 30 | Iowa Wild | 12 | 3 | -8 | 9 | .375 |
AHL on the same day
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- 35652The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.7
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →