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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors

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Model prediction for 8 November

San Jose Barracuda43%
Draw in regulation21%
Bakersfield Condors37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

San Jose Barracuda are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.2 and 3.0.

Facts

  • League table: San Jose Barracuda — No. 28, 8 pts; Bakersfield Condors — No. 29, 7 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Jose Barracuda 4 wins, Bakersfield Condors 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors3.2–3.0
San Jose Barracuda to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Bakersfield Condors to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)63%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)37%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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Form

San Jose Barracuda

  • 02.11Bakersfield Condors3:2 OT
  • 29.10Abbotsford Canucks2:5
  • 25.10away · San Diego Gulls1:4
  • 24.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds5:2
  • 17.10Calgary Wranglers5:4

Bakersfield Condors

  • 02.11away · San Jose Barracuda2:3 OT
  • 31.10Abbotsford Canucks1:5
  • 25.10away · Colorado Eagles4:1
  • 24.10away · Colorado Eagles1:4
  • 18.10Calgary Wranglers3:4

Head to head

  • 02.11.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors3:2 OT
  • 19.04.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors4:3 OT
  • 18.04.2026Bakersfield Condors — San Jose Barracuda5:2
  • 25.01.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors5:3
  • 11.01.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors4:3 OT

Full record: 25 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
27Rockford IceHogs1040622–30-88.400
28San Jose Barracuda1040631–43-128.400
29Bakersfield Condors931523–28-57.389
30Iowa Wild1233629–37-89.375

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →