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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — HC Yugra

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Model prediction for 23 November

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg35%
Draw in regulation25%
HC Yugra40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

HC Yugra are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 20%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 1.8 and 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — No. 10, 25 pts; HC Yugra — No. 12, 23 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 2 wins, HC Yugra 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — HC Yugra1.8–1.9
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)20%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)80%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
  • SKA-VMF St. Petersburg goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg

  • 28.10Kaluga2:0
  • 26.10AKM5:0
  • 24.10Ryazan4:0
  • 16.10away · Bars4:0
  • 14.10away · Almetyevsk1:2 SO

HC Yugra

  • 30.10away · Perm2:3 SO
  • 28.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:5
  • 26.10away · Izhevsk5:4
  • 24.10away · Olympia4:0
  • 19.10Kristall Saratov3:1

Head to head

  • 03.03.2026HC Yugra — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg3:2
  • 23.09.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — HC Yugra0:4
  • 12.01.2025HC Yugra — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg3:1
  • 15.11.2024SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — HC Yugra3:1
  • 14.02.2024HC Yugra — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:4

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, PlayoffsKaluga20114543–34+926
10, PlayoffsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg17121448–23+2525
11, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh18112539–33+624
12, PlayoffsHC Yugra19111745–32+1323
13, PlayoffsToros Neftekamsk19103647–43+423

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • HC NorilskAKMpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • CSK VVSDyn. Altaypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
  • GornyakKristall Saratovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
  • PermOrskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →