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AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Texas Stars — Chicago Wolves

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Model prediction for 8 November

Texas Stars40%
Draw in regulation21%
Chicago Wolves39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Close to a coin flip: Texas Stars 50%, Chicago Wolves 50% including overtime.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.9.

Facts

  • League table: Texas Stars — No. 32, 6 pts; Chicago Wolves — No. 21, 11 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Texas Stars 1 win, Chicago Wolves 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Texas Stars — Chicago Wolves2.9–2.9
Texas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Chicago Wolves to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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Form

Texas Stars

  • 02.11away · Rockford IceHogs3:4
  • 01.11away · Chicago Wolves3:6
  • 25.10Ontario Reign5:2
  • 24.10Ontario Reign3:5
  • 18.10away · Manitoba Moose3:4 OT

Chicago Wolves

  • 02.11Grand Rapids Griffins1:5
  • 01.11Texas Stars6:3
  • 27.10Manitoba Moose6:3
  • 25.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:2 SO
  • 25.10Milwaukee Admirals4:2

Head to head

  • 01.11.2026Chicago Wolves — Texas Stars6:3
  • 06.05.2026Chicago Wolves — Texas Stars6:1
  • 03.05.2026Chicago Wolves — Texas Stars4:5 OT
  • 03.05.2026Chicago Wolves — Texas Stars2:1
  • 01.05.2026Texas Stars — Chicago Wolves4:5 OT

Full record: 30 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
20Belleville Senators1252536–40-412.500
21Chicago Wolves1151528–40-1211.500
22Coachella Valley Firebirds1143437–43-611.500
31Hamilton Hammers1232730–48-188.333
32Texas Stars1022630–43-136.300

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →