KHL · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Yekaterinburg — Nizhny Novgorod
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Yekaterinburg are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Yekaterinburg — No. 15, 14 pts; Nizhny Novgorod — No. 5, 19 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Yekaterinburg 2 wins, Nizhny Novgorod 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Yekaterinburg — Nizhny Novgorod | 2.4–2.2 | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Yekaterinburg
- Yekaterinburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 06.10Avangard Omsk4:0
- 04.10Khabarovsk0:3
- 02.10Khabarovsk3:0
- 30.09Lada3:1
- 26.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
- 12.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 08.10Cherepovets2:3
- 05.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:1 SO
- 03.10away · Sochi6:0
- 01.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:1
Head to head
- 02.11.2025Yekaterinburg — Nizhny Novgorod0:2
- 26.10.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Yekaterinburg7:4
- 13.03.2025Yekaterinburg — Nizhny Novgorod2:1
- 09.09.2024Nizhny Novgorod — Yekaterinburg3:1
- 26.01.2024Yekaterinburg — Nizhny Novgorod2:1 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskMagnitogorskpreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.9
- CherepovetsSpartak Moscowpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlSochipreliminary82181The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:14.3
- NiznekamskVladivostokpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →