KHL · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Niznekamsk — Vladivostok
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Niznekamsk are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- Niznekamsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Niznekamsk — No. 6, 18 pts; Vladivostok — No. 17, 13 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Niznekamsk 4 wins, Vladivostok 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Niznekamsk — Vladivostok | 2.7–2.4 | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Niznekamsk
- Niznekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Salavat Ufa3:4
- 08.10Avangard Omsk0:1
- 04.10Novosibirsk3:2
- 02.10Barys Astana4:5 OT
- 29.09away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 10.10Lada4:3 OT
- 07.10away · Magnitogorsk0:3
- 05.10away · Magnitogorsk5:2
- 03.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:6 SO
- 01.10away · Cherepovets4:3 SO
Head to head
- 27.09.2026Vladivostok — Niznekamsk3:5
- 13.09.2026Niznekamsk — Vladivostok2:1
- 07.03.2026Vladivostok — Niznekamsk3:4
- 05.03.2026Vladivostok — Niznekamsk7:3
- 10.01.2026Niznekamsk — Vladivostok4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskMagnitogorskpreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.9
- YekaterinburgNizhny Novgorodpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- CherepovetsSpartak Moscowpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlSochipreliminary82181The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →