KHL · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Cherepovets — Spartak Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Cherepovets 52%, Spartak Moscow 48% including overtime.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cherepovets — Spartak Moscow | 2.6–2.5 | |
| Cherepovets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Cherepovets
- Cherepovets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10SKA St. Petersburg2:0
- 10.10away · Bars Kazan4:1
- 08.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2
- 06.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:2
- 03.10Shanghai2:1 OT
- 09.10away · Sochi2:0
- 07.10away · Sochi5:2
- 04.10Barys Astana3:4 SO
- 02.10Magnitogorsk0:2
- 30.09Tractor Chelyabinsk2:4
Head to head
- 12.09.2026Spartak Moscow — Cherepovets8:0
- 02.02.2026Cherepovets — Spartak Moscow1:5
- 06.01.2026Cherepovets — Spartak Moscow1:2
- 14.11.2025Spartak Moscow — Cherepovets3:4
- 11.09.2025Spartak Moscow — Cherepovets1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 14 | 8 | +14 | 16 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskMagnitogorskpreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.9
- YekaterinburgNizhny Novgorodpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlSochipreliminary82181The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:14.3
- NiznekamskVladivostokpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →