KHL · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Sochi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are clear favourites: 82% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 29%.
Why
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Sochi | 2.9–1.3 | |
| Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 82% | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 18% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 29% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 71% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Dinamo Minsk6:1
- 05.10away · Bars Kazan2:0
- 03.10away · Dinamo Minsk3:4
- 30.09Novosibirsk3:1
- 27.09away · Novosibirsk2:1
- 12.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 09.10Spartak Moscow0:2
- 07.10Spartak Moscow2:5
- 03.10Nizhny Novgorod0:6
- 30.09Salavat Ufa6:3
Head to head
- 04.03.2026Sochi — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:3
- 14.02.2026Sochi — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:2 OT
- 01.02.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Sochi3:0
- 22.09.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Sochi5:0
- 02.03.2025Sochi — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- NovosibirskMagnitogorskpreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.9
- YekaterinburgNizhny Novgorodpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- CherepovetsSpartak Moscowpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- NiznekamskVladivostokpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →