KHL · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Novosibirsk — Magnitogorsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitogorsk are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Novosibirsk — Magnitogorsk | 1.9–2.9 | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 30% | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 70% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Novosibirsk
- Novosibirsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Barys Astana3:2
- 10.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 07.10Salavat Ufa4:5 OT
- 04.10away · Niznekamsk2:3
- 02.10away · Salavat Ufa4:2
- 12.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2 OT
- 09.10Salavat Ufa7:1
- 07.10Vladivostok3:0
- 05.10Vladivostok2:5
- 02.10away · Spartak Moscow2:0
Head to head
- 01.04.2026Magnitogorsk — Novosibirsk1:0
- 30.03.2026Novosibirsk — Magnitogorsk1:0 OT
- 28.03.2026Novosibirsk — Magnitogorsk1:3
- 26.03.2026Magnitogorsk — Novosibirsk5:1
- 24.03.2026Magnitogorsk — Novosibirsk4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
KHL on the same day
- YekaterinburgNizhny Novgorodpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- CherepovetsSpartak Moscowpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlSochipreliminary82181The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:14.3
- NiznekamskVladivostokpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →