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Double chance predictions

4 November 2026 · a pick is 75%+

Today’s and tomorrow’s football, ranked by the chance of the double chance (1X or X2) — computed by the Forepitch statistical model from each team’s expected goals. A pick here means 75% or more. On the matches played since 28 September, such picks came true 1126 times out of 1330 (85%). No prediction is sure: even at 75%, about 3 in 10 still miss. The full accuracy record →

Today, 4 November

9 at 75% or more — in bold.

23:00 · Champions LeagueSlavia Prague — ArsenalArsenal or draw (X2): 91%
18:00 · Nigeria NPFLEnugu Rangers — Bendel InsuranceEnugu Rangers or draw (1X): 90%
23:00 · Champions LeagueViking — Sabah FKViking or draw (1X): 86%
20:45 · Champions LeagueAEK Athens — Real MadridReal Madrid or draw (X2): 84%
23:00 · Champions LeagueBorussia Dortmund — Real BetisBorussia Dortmund or draw (1X): 84%
13:00 · Turkish CupFethiyespor — EyüpsporEyüpspor or draw (X2): 78%
23:00 · Champions LeagueFC Porto — NapoliFC Porto or draw (1X): 77%
23:00 · Botola ProFAR Rabat — Raja CasablancaFAR Rabat or draw (1X): 77%
22:45 · ChampionshipWrexham — MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough or draw (X2): 75%
23:00 · Champions LeagueRB Leipzig — Manchester CityManchester City or draw (X2): 74%

Tomorrow, 5 November

25 at 75% or more — in bold.

23:00 · Conference LeagueFC København — Iberia 1999FC København or draw (1X): 96%
20:45 · Conference LeagueAtalanta — Kairat AlmatyAtalanta or draw (1X): 95%
23:00 · Conference LeagueLugano — FK Kauno ŽalgirisLugano or draw (1X): 95%
20:45 · Europa LeagueMilan — FerencvárosMilan or draw (1X): 93%
23:00 · Conference LeaguePanathinaikos — CSKA SofiaPanathinaikos or draw (1X): 91%
23:00 · Europa LeagueBenfica — Lech PoznańBenfica or draw (1X): 91%
23:00 · Conference LeagueFC Twente — Pafos FCFC Twente or draw (1X): 90%
20:45 · Europa LeagueSparta Prague — AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth or draw (X2): 87%
23:00 · Conference LeagueMonaco — NordsjællandMonaco or draw (1X): 87%
23:00 · Europa LeagueSunderland — Dinamo ZagrebSunderland or draw (1X): 86%
20:45 · Conference LeagueFK Crvena Zvezda — Inter Club d'EscaldesFK Crvena Zvezda or draw (1X): 84%
20:45 · Europa LeagueNEC Nijmegen — Omonia NicosiaNEC Nijmegen or draw (1X): 84%
23:00 · Europa LeagueSturm Graz — NK CeljeSturm Graz or draw (1X): 84%
23:00 · Conference LeagueGetafe — Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion or draw (X2): 83%
23:00 · Europa LeagueBayer Leverkusen — MarseilleBayer Leverkusen or draw (1X): 83%
23:00 · Europa LeagueTorreense — Ararat ArmeniaTorreense or draw (1X): 82%
21:00 · Ivory Coast Ligue 1ISCA — ASEC MimosasASEC Mimosas or draw (X2): 81%
20:45 · Conference LeagueKuPS — GentGent or draw (X2): 81%
20:45 · Europa LeagueCrystal Palace — HoffenheimCrystal Palace or draw (1X): 80%
23:00 · Conference LeagueUniversitatea Craiova — EgnatiaUniversitatea Craiova or draw (1X): 80%
20:45 · Conference LeagueMjällby — Borac Banja LukaMjällby or draw (1X): 79%
20:45 · Conference LeagueLincoln Red Imps FC — Hajduk SplitHajduk Split or draw (X2): 78%
23:00 · Conference LeagueSt.Truiden — BrannSt.Truiden or draw (1X): 77%
23:00 · Europa LeagueHapoel Beer Sheva — OFI CreteHapoel Beer Sheva or draw (1X): 76%
20:45 · Conference LeagueTrabzonspor — FreiburgTrabzonspor or draw (1X): 75%

How yesterday’s picks did

5 of 6 came true.

AllsvenskanSirius — Halmstads BK 2:0Sirius or draw (1X): 92% ✓
Champions LeagueBarcelona — Aston Villa 3:0Barcelona or draw (1X): 87% ✓
Champions LeagueLASK — Slovan Bratislava 4:0LASK or draw (1X): 82% ✓
Champions LeagueVillarreal — Paris Saint-Germain 0:6Paris Saint-Germain or draw (X2): 79% ✓
Tanzania Premier LeagueMbeya City — Singida Black Stars 1:0Singida Black Stars or draw (X2): 76% ✗
Champions LeagueGalatasaray — VfB Stuttgart 2:0Galatasaray or draw (1X): 75% ✓

Questions

Are these sure predictions?

No. There are no sure predictions in football, and anyone selling “100% sure tips” is not being honest. These are probabilities: picks at 75% or more came true 85% of the time, and every result is checked in the open.

How does the model calculate this probability?

A double chance is two outcomes together: home win or draw (1X), away win or draw (X2). The model adds its own 1, X and 2 probabilities and shows the more likely pair.

When is the list updated?

Several times a day: the model recalculates with fresh data. After the match the result is marked automatically — ✓ or ✗ next to the pick.

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