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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Monday, 26 October, (UTC+3)

Altmaier D. — Cerundolo J. M.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Altmaier D.46%
Cerundolo J. M.54%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Cerundolo J. M. to win (54%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.

Cerundolo J. M. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 22.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Altmaier D. 1546, Cerundolo J. M. 1547.

Probabilities

Games over 22.550%
Games under 22.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Altmaier D. games
  • Cerundolo J. M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Altmaier D.

  • 25.10Cerundolo J. M.0:2
  • 24.10Bernet H.2:0
  • 23.10Fritz T.0:2
  • 22.10Gojo B.2:0
  • 20.10Droguet T.2:1

Cerundolo J. M.

  • 25.10Altmaier D.2:0
  • 24.10Svajda Z.2:0
  • 20.10Navone M.0:2
  • 10.10Alcaraz C.0:2
  • 08.10Mejia N.2:0

Head to head

  • 25.10.2026Cerundolo J. M. — Altmaier D.2:0

Full record: 2 meetings →

Next matches

  • Altmaier D.Lehecka J.29 October · ATP · Basel
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Kovacevic A.31 October · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →