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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Monday, 26 October, (UTC+3)

Rune H. — Halys Q.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Rune H.56%
Halys Q.44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Rune H. to win (56%), came true.

Rune H. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Rune H. 1754, Halys Q. 1583.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Rune H. games
  • Halys Q. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Rune H.

  • 07.10Altmaier D.1:2
  • 01.10Jacquet K.0:2

Halys Q.

  • 11.10Zverev A.1:2
  • 09.10Blockx A.2:1
  • 07.10Wong C.2:0
  • 03.10De Minaur A.1:2
  • 01.10Buse I.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Hurkacz H.Rune H.28 October · ATP · Basel
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Halys Q.Fery A.3 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →