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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Monday, 26 October, (UTC+3)

Machac T. — De Minaur A.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Machac T.28%
De Minaur A.72%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, De Minaur A. to win (72%), came true.

De Minaur A. are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Machac T. 1670, De Minaur A. 1789.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Machac T. games
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Machac T.

  • 24.10Moutet C.2:0
  • 22.10Khachanov K.1:2
  • 21.10Nurlanuly Z.2:0
  • 09.10Bublik A.0:2
  • 07.10Zhang Z.2:1

De Minaur A.

  • 15.10Zverev A.0:2
  • 13.10Khachanov K.2:0
  • 11.10Sakamoto R.2:0
  • 06.10Djokovic N.0:1
  • 05.10Hurkacz H.1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Tien L.De Minaur A.28 October · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Machac T.Landaluce M.31 October · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Berrettini M.Etcheverry T. M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Brunold M.Borges N.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Vacherot V.Navone M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Rune H.Halys Q.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Fery A.Fearnley J.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Mensik J.Neumayer L.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Darderi L.Arnaldi M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →