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Tennis: ATP, Paris, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)

Baez S. — Machac T.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Baez S.32%
Machac T.68%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Machac T. to win (68%), came true.

Machac T. are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Baez S. 1553, Machac T. 1669.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Baez S. games
  • Machac T. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Baez S.

  • 31.10Dzumhur D.2:0
  • 24.10Mpetshi Perricard G.1:2
  • 20.10Herbert P.0:2
  • 10.10Vacherot V.0:2
  • 08.10Giron M.2:1

Machac T.

  • 31.10Landaluce M.2:0
  • 26.10De Minaur A.1:2
  • 24.10Moutet C.2:0
  • 22.10Khachanov K.1:2
  • 21.10Nurlanuly Z.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Merida Aguilar D.Baez S.2 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • Jacquet K.Machac T.2 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →