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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)

De Minaur A. — Alcaraz C.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
De Minaur A.21%
Alcaraz C.79%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Alcaraz C. to win (79%), came true.

Alcaraz C. are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: De Minaur A. 1801, Alcaraz C. 2025.

Facts

  • De Minaur A.: 4 wins in a row; Alcaraz C.: 4 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 21.548%
Games under 21.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Alcaraz C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

De Minaur A.

  • 31.10Zverev A.2:1
  • 30.10Berrettini M.2:0
  • 28.10Tien L.2:0
  • 26.10Machac T.2:1
  • 15.10Zverev A.0:2

Alcaraz C.

  • 31.10Medvedev D.2:0
  • 30.10Paul T.2:0
  • 29.10Basilashvili N.2:0
  • 27.10Khachanov K.2:0
  • 12.10Bergs Z.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Etcheverry T. M.De Minaur A.live · 4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:221.5
  • Michelsen A.Alcaraz C.4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:220.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hijikata R.Kopriva V.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Tirante T. A.Bellucci M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Kecmanovic M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Baez S.Machac T.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Bonzi B.Hanfmann Y.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Vallejo D.Sonego L.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Borges N.Molcan A.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Lehecka J.Vacherot V.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →