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Tennis: ATP, Paris, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)

Vallejo D. — Sonego L.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Vallejo D.56%
Sonego L.44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Vallejo D. to win (56%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.

Vallejo D. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Vallejo D. 1577, Sonego L. 1578.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Vallejo D. games
  • Sonego L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Vallejo D.

  • 31.10Dimitrov G.2:1
  • 24.10Sonego L.1:2
  • 10.10Paul T.0:2
  • 08.10Royer V.2:0
  • 04.10Lehecka J.0:2

Sonego L.

  • 31.10Munar J.2:1
  • 25.10Fearnley J.1:2
  • 24.10Vallejo D.2:1
  • 19.10Kouame M.0:2
  • 05.10Dougaz A.1:2

Head to head

  • 24.10.2026Vallejo D. — Sonego L.1:2

Full record: 2 meetings →

Next matches

  • Bellucci M.Sonego L.2 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Vallejo D.Tien L.3 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hijikata R.Kopriva V.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Tirante T. A.Bellucci M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Kecmanovic M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Baez S.Machac T.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Bonzi B.Hanfmann Y.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • De Minaur A.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Borges N.Molcan A.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Lehecka J.Vacherot V.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →