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Tennis: ATP, Paris, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)

Borges N. — Molcan A.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Borges N.55%
Molcan A.45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Borges N. to win (55%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.

Borges N. are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Borges N. 1640, Molcan A. 1608.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Borges N. games
  • Molcan A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Borges N.

  • 31.10Mannarino A.2:1
  • 30.10Struff J-L.0:2
  • 28.10Ruud C.2:1
  • 26.10Brunold M.2:0
  • 10.10Lehecka J.1:2

Molcan A.

  • 31.10Altmaier D.2:0
  • 25.10Mannarino A.0:2
  • 24.10Medjedovic H.2:0
  • 07.10Cina F.2:1
  • 02.10Khachanov K.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Molcan A.Droguet T.2 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Borges N.Kouame M.3 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hijikata R.Kopriva V.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Tirante T. A.Bellucci M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Kecmanovic M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Baez S.Machac T.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Bonzi B.Hanfmann Y.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • De Minaur A.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Vallejo D.Sonego L.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Lehecka J.Vacherot V.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →