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Tennis: ATP, Paris, hard · Tuesday, 3 November, (UTC+3)

Bonzi B. — Fritz T.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Bonzi B.31%
Fritz T.69%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Fritz T. to win (69%), came true.

Fritz T. are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bonzi B. 1621, Fritz T. 1788.

Probabilities

Games over 22.551%
Games under 22.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bonzi B. games
  • Fritz T. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Bonzi B.

  • 01.11Hanfmann Y.2:1
  • 31.10Griekspoor T.2:1
  • 21.10Paul T.1:2
  • 20.10Norrie C.2:1

Fritz T.

  • 31.10Vacherot V.0:2
  • 30.10Fils A.1:0
  • 29.10Shapovalov D.2:0
  • 28.10Hijikata R.2:0
  • 25.10Musetti L.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Molcan A.Fritz T.4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:221.5

ATP on the same day

  • Halys Q.Fery A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • Rinderknech A.Cerundolo F.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Rublev A.Etcheverry T. M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Vallejo D.Tien L.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Borges N.Kouame M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Nakashima B.Berrettini M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Djokovic N.Vacherot V.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Paul T.Rune H.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →