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Tennis: ATP, Paris, hard · Tuesday, 3 November, (UTC+3)

Vallejo D. — Tien L.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Vallejo D.30%
Tien L.70%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Tien L. to win (70%), came true.

Tien L. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Vallejo D. 1553, Tien L. 1725.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Vallejo D. games
  • Tien L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Vallejo D.

  • 01.11Sonego L.1:2
  • 31.10Dimitrov G.2:1
  • 24.10Sonego L.1:2
  • 10.10Paul T.0:2
  • 08.10Royer V.2:0

Tien L.

  • 28.10De Minaur A.0:2
  • 26.10van Assche L.2:0
  • 12.10Ruud C.0:2
  • 10.10Svajda Z.2:0
  • 01.10Hurkacz H.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • van Assche L.Tien L.4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:221.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →