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Tennis: ATP, Paris, hard · Tuesday, 3 November, (UTC+3)

Djokovic N. — Vacherot V.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Djokovic N.67%
Vacherot V.33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Djokovic N. to win (67%), came true.

Djokovic N. are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Djokovic N. 1970, Vacherot V. 1723.

Facts

  • Vacherot V.: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.546%
Games under 22.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Djokovic N. games
  • Vacherot V. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Djokovic N.

  • 29.10Struff J-L.1:2
  • 28.10Humbert U.2:1
  • 09.10Hurkacz H.0:2
  • 06.10De Minaur A.1:0
  • 05.10Medvedev D.1:0

Vacherot V.

  • 01.11Lehecka J.2:1
  • 31.10Fritz T.2:0
  • 30.10Rune H.2:1
  • 29.10Jodar R.2:1
  • 26.10Navone M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Djokovic N.Hijikata R.4 November · ATP · Paris
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:019.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →