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Tennis: ATP, Paris, hard · Tuesday, 3 November, (UTC+3)

Michelsen A. — Lehecka J.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Michelsen A.47%
Lehecka J.53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Lehecka J. to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Michelsen A. 47%, Lehecka J. 53%.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Michelsen A. 1674, Lehecka J. 1752.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Michelsen A. games
  • Lehecka J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Michelsen A.

  • 29.10Fils A.1:2
  • 27.10Van De Zandschulp B.2:1
  • 23.10Fils A.0:2
  • 22.10Goffin D.2:0
  • 19.10Guerrieri A.2:0

Lehecka J.

  • 01.11Vacherot V.1:2
  • 31.10Struff J-L.2:1
  • 30.10Kym J.2:0
  • 29.10Altmaier D.2:0
  • 27.10Wawrinka S.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Michelsen A.Alcaraz C.4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:220.5

ATP on the same day

  • Halys Q.Fery A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • Rinderknech A.Cerundolo F.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Rublev A.Etcheverry T. M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Vallejo D.Tien L.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Borges N.Kouame M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Nakashima B.Berrettini M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Djokovic N.Vacherot V.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Paul T.Rune H.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →