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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Tuesday, 27 October, (UTC+3)

Paul T. — Rublev A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Paul T.56%
Rublev A.44%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Paul T. to win (56%), came true.

Paul T. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Paul T. 1771, Rublev A. 1701.

Facts

  • Rublev A.: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Paul T. games
  • Rublev A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Paul T.

  • 24.10Fritz T.0:2
  • 23.10Moutet C.2:1
  • 21.10Bonzi B.2:1
  • 16.10Medvedev D.1:2
  • 14.10Bergs Z.2:0

Rublev A.

  • 21.10Mannarino A.1:2
  • 09.10Sakamoto R.0:2
  • 04.10De Minaur A.1:2
  • 03.10Safiullin R.2:1
  • 01.10Griekspoor T.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Paul T.Darderi L.29 October · ATP · Vienna
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Rublev A.Etcheverry T. M.3 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hurkacz H.Bergs Z.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Tabilo A.Jodar R.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Kym J.Rinderknech A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.26.5
  • Mannarino A.Buse I.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Khachanov K.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Mpetshi Perricard G.Fils A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Michelsen A.Van De Zandschulp B.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Zverev A.Landaluce M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →