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Tennis: ATP, Basel, hard · Tuesday, 27 October, (UTC+3)

Hurkacz H. — Bergs Z.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Hurkacz H.58%
Bergs Z.42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Hurkacz H. to win (58%), came true.

Hurkacz H. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 24.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Hurkacz H. 1744, Bergs Z. 1622.

Probabilities

Games over 24.551%
Games under 24.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Hurkacz H. games
  • Bergs Z. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Hurkacz H.

  • 13.10Davidovich Fokina A.1:2
  • 11.10Zhou Y.2:1
  • 09.10Djokovic N.2:0
  • 08.10Duckworth J.2:0
  • 05.10De Minaur A.0:1

Bergs Z.

  • 23.10Struff J-L.0:2
  • 22.10Dzumhur D.2:0
  • 20.10Samuel T.2:0
  • 14.10Paul T.0:2
  • 12.10Alcaraz C.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Hurkacz H.Rune H.28 October · ATP · Basel
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Buse I.Bergs Z.2 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.26.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →