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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Tuesday, 27 October, (UTC+3)

Khachanov K. — Alcaraz C.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Khachanov K.16%
Alcaraz C.84%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Alcaraz C. to win (84%), came true.

Alcaraz C. are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Khachanov K. 1685, Alcaraz C. 2016.

Probabilities

Games over 20.552%
Games under 20.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Khachanov K. games
  • Alcaraz C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Khachanov K.

  • 23.10Bublik A.1:2
  • 22.10Machac T.2:1
  • 20.10Sakamoto R.2:0
  • 13.10De Minaur A.0:2
  • 11.10Mannarino A.2:0

Alcaraz C.

  • 12.10Bergs Z.0:2
  • 10.10Cerundolo J. M.2:0
  • 06.10Lehecka J.2:0
  • 05.10Munar J.2:1
  • 04.10Shapovalov D.1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Basilashvili N.Alcaraz C.29 October · ATP · Vienna
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • Shapovalov D.Khachanov K.2 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hurkacz H.Bergs Z.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Paul T.Rublev A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Tabilo A.Jodar R.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Kym J.Rinderknech A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.26.5
  • Mannarino A.Buse I.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Mpetshi Perricard G.Fils A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Michelsen A.Van De Zandschulp B.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Zverev A.Landaluce M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →