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Tennis: ATP, Vienna, hard · Tuesday, 27 October, (UTC+3)

Mannarino A. — Buse I.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Mannarino A.47%
Buse I.53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Buse I. to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Mannarino A. 47%, Buse I. 53%.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Mannarino A. 1573, Buse I. 1587.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Mannarino A. games
  • Buse I. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Mannarino A.

  • 25.10Molcan A.2:0
  • 24.10Tirante T. A.2:0
  • 23.10Basilashvili N.0:2
  • 21.10Rublev A.2:1
  • 19.10Vukic A.2:1

Buse I.

  • 10.10Bergs Z.0:2
  • 01.10Halys Q.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Mensik J.Mannarino A.28 October · ATP · Vienna
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Buse I.Bergs Z.2 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Hurkacz H.Bergs Z.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Paul T.Rublev A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Tabilo A.Jodar R.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Kym J.Rinderknech A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.26.5
  • Khachanov K.Alcaraz C.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Mpetshi Perricard G.Fils A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Michelsen A.Van De Zandschulp B.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Zverev A.Landaluce M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →