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Tennis: ATP, Paris, hard · Tuesday, 3 November, (UTC+3)

Struff J-L. — Gea A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Struff J-L.37%
Gea A.63%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Gea A. to win (63%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.

Gea A. are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Struff J-L. 1623, Gea A. 1696.

Facts

  • Gea A.: unbeaten in 5.

Probabilities

Games over 24.550%
Games under 24.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Struff J-L. games
  • Gea A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Struff J-L.

  • 31.10Lehecka J.1:2
  • 30.10Borges N.2:0
  • 29.10Djokovic N.2:1
  • 28.10Hanfmann Y.2:0
  • 25.10Griekspoor T.1:2

Gea A.

  • 15.10Davidovich Fokina A.0:0
  • 13.10Mensik J.2:0
  • 11.10Shelton B.2:0
  • 09.10Humbert U.2:1
  • 07.10Faria J.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Tirante T. A.Struff J-L.4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:222.5

ATP on the same day

  • Halys Q.Fery A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • Rinderknech A.Cerundolo F.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Rublev A.Etcheverry T. M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Vallejo D.Tien L.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Borges N.Kouame M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Nakashima B.Berrettini M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Djokovic N.Vacherot V.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Paul T.Rune H.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →