UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Billy Elekana — Lucas Fernandobeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Lucas Fernando are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.
Why
- Elo rating: Billy Elekana 1583, Lucas Fernando 1556.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
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- 61391The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- 68321The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- 43572The model's most likely outcome: 2—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →