UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Davey Grant — Elijah Smithbeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Elijah Smith are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.
Why
- Elo rating: Davey Grant 1563, Elijah Smith 1634.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
- 26.04Adrian Luna Martinetti1:0
- 19.10Charles Jourdain0:1
- 27.07Da'Mon Blackshear1:0
- 15.12Ramon Taveras1:0
- 23.07Daniel Marcos0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- 61391The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- 61391The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- 68321The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- 43572The model's most likely outcome: 2—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →