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UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · Heavyweight

Waldo Cortes Acosta — Johnny Walkerbeta

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Model prediction for 8 November

Waldo Cortes Acosta46%
Johnny Walker54%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Johnny Walker are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Why

  • Elo rating: Waldo Cortes Acosta 1608, Johnny Walker 1590.

Probabilities

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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.

  • Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
  • KO/TKO by each fighter
  • Goes the distance
  • Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form

Waldo Cortes Acosta

  • 13.09Curtis Blaydes0:1
  • 10.05Alexander Volkov0:1
  • 25.01Derrick Lewis1:0
  • 23.11Shamil Gaziev1:0
  • 02.11Ante Delija1:0

Johnny Walker

  • 04.10Mick Parkin1:0
  • 12.04Dominick Reyes0:1
  • 24.08Zhang Mingyang1:0
  • 23.06Volkan Oezdemir0:1
  • 14.01Magomed Ankalaev0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

UFC on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →