EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Anadolu Efes — Paris

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Model prediction for 5 November

Anadolu Efes63%
Paris37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Anadolu Efes are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:86 — 177 points in total.

Over 176.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Anadolu Efes −4.0, Paris −4.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Anadolu Efes — No. 18, 1–4; Paris — No. 17, 1–4.
  • Anadolu Efes: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Anadolu Efes 1 win, Paris 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Anadolu Efes — Paris90.5–86.4
Total over 176.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 176.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Paris points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Anadolu Efes

  • 14.10Bayern93:101
  • 09.10away · Olympiacos66:89
  • 01.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet72:77
  • 29.09Real Madrid94:84
  • 24.09away · Barcelona82:89

Paris

  • 14.10Virtus Bologna94:96
  • 07.10Lyon-Villeurbanne96:98
  • 01.10Zalgiris Kaunas82:78
  • 29.09Partizan Mozzart Bet79:92
  • 24.09away · Panathinaikos72:91

Head to head

  • 07.01.2026Anadolu Efes — Paris79:84
  • 28.10.2025Paris — Anadolu Efes80:90
  • 14.01.2025Paris — Anadolu Efes88:84
  • 21.11.2024Anadolu Efes — Paris84:93

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
16Maccabi Tel Aviv624.3333.5
17Paris514.2004
18Anadolu Efes514.2004
19Baskonia514.2004

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →