EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Aris — Cedevita Olimpija
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cedevita Olimpija are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.
The model expects a score around 79:81 — 159 points in total.
Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Aris −3.8, Cedevita Olimpija +0.9 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Aris — No. 3, 2–0; Cedevita Olimpija — No. 29, 0–2.
- Cedevita Olimpija: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Aris 0 wins, Cedevita Olimpija 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Aris — Cedevita Olimpija | 78.5–80.8 | |
| Total over 158.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 158.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Aris points
- Cedevita Olimpija points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 07.10San Pablo Burgos93:80
- 29.09away · Le Mans87:74
- 11.02away · Cluj-Napoca92:111
- 04.02Neptunas83:64
- 28.01away · Bahcesehir Kol.79:81
- 06.10Hapoel Jerusalem64:75
- 30.09away · San Pablo Burgos81:85
- 17.03away · JL Bourg79:83
- 11.03Chemnitz73:65
- 10.02away · Slask Wroclaw114:81
Head to head
- 30.12.2025Aris — Cedevita Olimpija60:89
- 14.10.2025Cedevita Olimpija — Aris80:59
- 08.01.2025Cedevita Olimpija — Aris98:79
- 23.10.2024Aris — Cedevita Olimpija75:82
Table
Group A
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Hapoel Jerusalem | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Aris | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Rostock | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs | Rigas Zelli | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 5 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 6 | Tortona | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 7 | Cedevita Olimpija | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2 |
EuroCup on the same day
- SiauliaiMaxima Romapreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.6
- NeptunasBasket Napolipreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —176.4
- Slask WroclawTofaspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —172.3
- ChemnitzJL Bourgpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.4
- TortonaRostockpreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.0
- Le MansHapoel Jerusalempreliminary17832The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.1
- London LionsTurk Telekompreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —156.2
- San Pablo BurgosRigas Zellipreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →