EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Balkan — Manresa

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Model prediction for 27 October

Balkan37%
Manresa63%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Manresa are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 85:89 — 174 points in total.

Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Balkan −11.4, Manresa −4.6 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Balkan — Manresa85.0–89.3
Total over 173.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 173.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Balkan points
  • Manresa points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Balkan

  • 13.10away · BC Roma72:77
  • 07.10Bahcesehir Kol.60:101
  • 30.09away · Ulm84:98

Manresa

  • 13.10away · Bahcesehir Kol.88:100
  • 11.10away · Real Madrid83:120
  • 07.10Ulm101:89
  • 03.10Breogan95:101
  • 30.09away · PAOK78:93

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group D

Table «Group D», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBahcesehir Kol.3301.000—
2, PlayoffsBC Roma321.6671
3, PlayoffsLietkabelis321.6671
4, PlayoffsPAOK321.6671
5Ulm211.5001.5
6Manresa312.3332
7KK Bosna202.0002.5
8Balkan303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.9
  • LietkabelisUlmpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —175.4
  • BC RomaKK Bosnapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.7
  • TrentoBuducnostpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →