EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Basket Napoli — Trento

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Model prediction for 3 November

Basket Napoli74%
Trento26%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Basket Napoli are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 86:78 — 164 points in total.

Over 163.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Basket Napoli −0.6, Trento −6.2 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Basket Napoli — Trento86.0–78.0
Total over 163.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 163.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Basket Napoli points
  • Trento points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Basket Napoli

  • 06.10away · Buducnost93:75
  • 30.09JL Bourg84:76

Trento

  • 13.10Chemnitz80:88
  • 06.10Slask Wroclaw81:94
  • 29.09away · Neptunas76:73
  • 18.03away · Besiktas76:77
  • 11.03away · Venezia94:90

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group C

Table «Group C», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBasket Napoli2201.000—
2, PlayoffsTofas2201.000—
3, PlayoffsChemnitz321.6670.5
4, PlayoffsBuducnost211.5001
5Slask Wroclaw211.5001
6Trento312.3331.5
7Neptunas312.3331.5
8JL Bourg303.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • TofasNeptunaspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.3
  • PAOKBC Romapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.6
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —172.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →