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EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Fernando Buesa Arena

Baskonia — Besiktas

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Model prediction and result

84:92Missed
Baskonia57%
Besiktas43%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 84:92: the model's most likely outcome, Baskonia to win (57% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 57% fails in about 43 matches out of 100 on average.

Baskonia are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

The model expects a score around 95:93 — 187 points in total.

Over 186.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Baskonia −5.6, Besiktas −4.2 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Baskonia — Besiktas94.7–92.6
Total over 186.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 186.5 (incl. OT)50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Baskonia points
  • Besiktas points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Baskonia

  • 04.10Basquet Girona118:78
  • 02.10Olimpia Milano86:76
  • 29.09away · Valencia88:111
  • 27.09away · San Pablo Burgos98:97
  • 24.09Olympiacos89:106

Besiktas

  • 02.10Barcelona82:95
  • 30.09away · Maccabi Tel Aviv109:93
  • 25.09Valencia94:96
  • 28.04away · JL Bourg71:73
  • 22.04JL Bourg60:72

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBarcelona532.6002
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBesiktas422.5002.5
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsVirtus Bologna422.5002.5
18Maccabi Tel Aviv514.2004
19Baskonia514.2004
20Olimpia Milano514.2004

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • BaskoniaJoventut Badalona11 October · Liga ACB
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 93:73. Model's score: —.185.0
  • Hapoel Tel AvivBesiktas14 October · EuroLeague
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.6

EuroLeague on the same day

  • OlympiacosAnadolu Efes
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 89:66. Model's score: —.171.7
  • BarcelonaZalgiris Kaunas
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 81:88. Model's score: —.168.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →