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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Bauru — Cruzeiro

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Model prediction for 4 November

Bauru75%
Cruzeiro25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bauru are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 88:79 — 167 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Bauru +1.0, Cruzeiro −4.8 points in regulation.

Facts

  • Last 2 meetings: Bauru 1 win, Cruzeiro 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Bauru — Cruzeiro88.0–79.3
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)50%

228 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Bauru points
  • Cruzeiro points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Bauru

  • 30.04away · Paulistano62:71
  • 27.04Paulistano88:75
  • 25.04Paulistano80:95
  • 22.04away · Paulistano77:80
  • 18.04away · Brasilia65:94

Cruzeiro

  • 30.04away · Minas93:103
  • 26.04Minas74:101
  • 25.04Minas97:81
  • 22.04away · Minas94:99
  • 17.04Cearense86:77

Head to head

  • 07.02.2026Bauru — Cruzeiro80:77
  • 04.11.2025Cruzeiro — Bauru76:75

NBB on the same day

  • FrancaMinaspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —175.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →