Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Bilbao — Baskonia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Baskonia are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 87:92 — 179 points in total.
Over 178.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Bilbao −1.3, Baskonia +7.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Bilbao — No. 6, 4–2; Baskonia — No. 8, 4–2.
- Last 5 meetings: Bilbao 1 win, Baskonia 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Bilbao — Baskonia | 87.0–92.3 | |
| Total over 178.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 178.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Bilbao points
- Baskonia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 01.11away · Joventut Badalona81:78
- 25.10MoraBanc Andorra88:76
- 18.10away · Real Madrid84:119
- 11.10San Pablo Burgos96:87
- 04.10away · Leyma Coruna101:104
- 01.11Manresa106:83
- 30.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne79:94
- 27.10Real Madrid86:104
- 25.10away · Valencia75:84
- 22.10away · Panathinaikos79:85
Head to head
- 15.02.2026Bilbao — Baskonia69:76
- 23.11.2025Baskonia — Bilbao110:91
- 24.05.2025Baskonia — Bilbao100:97
- 08.12.2024Bilbao — Baskonia67:69
- 24.03.2024Bilbao — Baskonia82:80
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Breogan | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 6, Playoffs | Bilbao | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 7, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 8, Playoffs | Baskonia | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 9 | Basquet Girona | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- Obradoiro CABBasquet Gironapreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —182.4
- Leyma CorunaForca Lleidapreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —197.2
- ValenciaBreoganpreliminary89111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —199.4
- TenerifeBarcelonapreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —182.7
- Real MadridJoventut Badalonapreliminary85151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —185.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →