Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Leyma Coruna — Forca Lleida
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Leyma Coruna are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 100:97 — 197 points in total.
Over 196.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Leyma Coruna −8.5, Forca Lleida −8.1 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Leyma Coruna — No. 15, 2–4; Forca Lleida — No. 17, 1–5.
- Forca Lleida: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Leyma Coruna 2 wins, Forca Lleida 0.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Leyma Coruna — Forca Lleida | 100.2–97.0 | |
| Total over 196.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 196.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Leyma Coruna points
- Forca Lleida points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 31.10Tenerife93:89
- 24.10away · Murcia81:88
- 18.10away · Basquet Girona90:110
- 10.10Basket Zaragoza71:92
- 04.10Bilbao104:101
- 31.10away · Murcia98:125
- 25.10Real Madrid86:122
- 18.10away · Basket Zaragoza98:109
- 11.10away · Obradoiro CAB89:91
- 04.10San Pablo Burgos81:94
Head to head
- 01.03.2025Leyma Coruna — Forca Lleida97:84
- 01.12.2024Forca Lleida — Leyma Coruna101:106 OT
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Joventut Badalona | 2 | 4 | .333 | 4 |
| 15 | Leyma Coruna | 2 | 4 | .333 | 4 |
| 16 | MoraBanc Andorra | 1 | 5 | .167 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Forca Lleida | 1 | 5 | .167 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Manresa | 0 | 6 | .000 | 6 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- BilbaoBaskoniapreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —179.3
- Obradoiro CABBasquet Gironapreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —182.4
- ValenciaBreoganpreliminary89111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —199.4
- TenerifeBarcelonapreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —182.7
- Real MadridJoventut Badalonapreliminary85151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —185.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →